Betting on the Next Pope
Have you ever imagined predicting the successor of Pope Francis? Although it’s an unconventional market, betting on the next Pope is a real possibility. With a Conclave that could change history, Australian betting sites offer odds on who will be named as the next Pope.
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In this article, we break down the betting options, the favorites, and key insights for making informed bets on the potential papal candidates. Are you ready to predict who will be the next leader of the Catholic Church?
Keep reading and discover everything you need to know to capitalise on this unique market. bet365 already has odds available for the next Pope betting market. For those who prefer to bet on-the-go, you can also check out the best betting apps in Australia for an enhanced betting experience.
Betting Odds for the Next Pope
Keeping up with the latest odds about who will succeed Pope Francis at the Vatican is not only an exciting way to engage with a historical event, but it also offers a fantastic opportunity to analyse the odds, which reflect the chances of each cardinal based on their profile, influence, and political context.
Here at AussieBet we have listed the latest odds on who could be named as the next Pope according to bet365. We have included the main contenders and favourites in the betting market. Others are available at bigger prices.
ℹ️ Remember that odds are subject to change. 18+ | Gamble responsibly.
Odds Analysis: What They Tell Us About the Next Pope
- Italy remains a papal powerhouse, but with nuance 👉 Italy continues to have the largest representation in the College of Cardinals, with 28 cardinals. However, the odds for Italian cardinals suggest a trend towards moderation and consensus, rather than absolute hegemony. This indicates openness to candidates from other regions, even though Italy remains a key player.
- Rise of Asia and Africa: Is it time for a non-European Pope? 👉 Under Pope Francis, the representation of Asia in the College of Cardinals has risen to 18%, while Africa now holds 12% of the electors. This change reflects a more global and diverse Church. More competitive odds for cardinals from these regions could indicate an opportunity for high-return bets, though with greater risk.
- Latin America: Will it retain its influence after Francis? 👉 Latin America remains an influential region in the Catholic Church, with significant representation in the College of Cardinals. However, the odds for Latin American cardinals may be influenced by Pope Francis’ legacy, which could either generate continuity or resistance to change, depending on the candidate’s profile.
- Geographic diversification: A Pope from the Middle East or Oceania? 👉 Although there are currently few electors from the Middle East and Oceania, the inclusion of representatives from these regions in the College of Cardinals could open the door for a more ecumenical Pope. The odds for these candidates tend to be higher, reflecting both the novelty and uncertainty associated with a historic election.
- Impact of age and experience on the odds 👉 The age and experience of cardinals also play a crucial role in the betting odds for the next Pope. Younger candidates or those with less experience in the Vatican Curia may have higher odds due to the perception of a lower probability of being elected. However, this also represents an opportunity for high-return bets if the Church seeks renewal.
Vacant See: Favorites to Become the Next Pope
As we have seen by reviewing the odds in the next Pope betting market, there are already cardinals who have emerged as clear favorites to occupy the Vacant Apostolic See with the best betting sites.
These leaders of the Catholic Church not only have significant influence within the Vatican, but they also represent different approaches within the ecclesiastical hierarchy, which could make their election more likely.
Luis Antonio Tagle (🇵🇭 Philippines)
- Large base of followers in Asia
- Moderate position within the ‘progressive’ line
- Could be disliked by conservative sectors of the Church.
Luis Antonio Tagle is one of the most popular and charismatic cardinals, especially in Asia. Known for his pastoral style and progressive approach, he has gained considerable support from the younger sectors of the Church. Moreover, his international presence and his history as the former Archbishop of Manila place him as a strong contender to be elected the next Pope.
Pietro Parolin (🇮🇹 Italy)
- Great diplomatic experience
- Consensus profile within the College of Cardinals
- Proximity to his predecessor (Pope Francis) could hinder his election
Pietro Parolin, the current Vatican Secretary of State, is one of the most influential figures within the Church. His diplomatic profile and ability to handle complex political situations make him a natural candidate. Parolin has been described as a figure of consensus within the Vatican, which could facilitate his election in the Conclave.
Fridolin Ambongo Besungu (RD Congo 🇨🇩)
- Great geopolitical profile: African and Francophone
- Reference figure for more conservative positions
- Lack of international experience and Vatican diplomacy
Fridolin Ambongo Besungu, Archbishop of Kinshasa, has surprised many by positioning himself as a strong candidate to succeed Francis. His focus on social justice, human rights, and peace in Africa has earned him global recognition. Although not one of the traditional favorites, his actions and leadership on social issues and his conservative positions on moral and liturgical matters could give an unexpected twist to the Conclave.
Matteo Zuppi (🇮🇹 Italy)
- Respected figure inside and outside the Vatican
- Balanced profile with international background (was special envoy to Ukraine)
- Not an option for those seeking renewal or radical change
Archbishop Matteo Zuppi of Bologna is one of the most prominent figures in the Italian Episcopal Conference. Known for his work in the field of peace and interfaith dialogue, Zuppi has a balanced profile that could attract both conservatives and progressives within the Conclave. His moderate style makes him a candidate with great potential. Perhaps too much, we’ll see.
How the Conclave Affects Betting on the Next Pope
Conclave is the Vatican’s secret process of choosing the next Pope. It is a gathering of the College of Cardinals in the Sistine Chapel to begin their deliberations.
It usually starts around 15 to 20 days after the Pope’s death and begins with the words extra omnes – everyone out – leaving just the cardinals and some officials locked in the room to make their choice.
The cardinals swear an oath of absolute secrecy, and are permitted no contact with the outside world for the election.
The Conclave is a highly uncertain event, which causes fluctuations in the odds of the candidates. Factors such as the profile of the cardinals, the internal dynamics of the Conclave, and the rumors circulating during the process can affect the probabilities of each candidate, or even how long the process is taking.
For bettors, it is crucial to closely follow the development of the Conclave, as the emerging information can influence decisions and the odds offered by betting houses for the next Pope election.
Best Live Streaming
Many Sports Covered
- Best for next Pope betting
- Good mobile app
- Detailed market
