World Cup Referees: Who are the Most Card-Happy Officials at World Cup 2026?

The referees in charge at World Cup 2026 have now been announced by FIFA, giving us the chance to assess which officials might be the most likely to reach for the cards once the action gets underway.

There are plenty of World Cup booking odds on offer and knowing which referees are the strictest can help you spot value prices. Below we look into the most card-happy refs that could have an impact on popular booking markets.

๐Ÿ“Š Top 10 Strictest World Cup Referees (Ranked by Yellow Cards)

RankRefereeNationalityYellows / GameReds / GamePens / Game
1Andrรฉs RojasColombia5.520.380.31
2Alejandro HernรกndezSpain5.410.350.31
3Istvรกn KovรกcsRomania5.240.350.32
4Kevin OrtegaPeru5.220.370.47
5Hรฉctor Said MartรญnezHonduras5.210.660.46
6Yael Falcรณn PรฉrezArgentina5.180.250.27
7Ivan BartonEl Salvador5.130.470.47
8Gustavo TejeraUruguay5.050.290.33
9Wilton SampaioBrazil5.050.290.28
10Jesรบs ValenzuelaVenezuela4.960.300.28

โ„น๏ธ Booking stats are taken from Transfermarkt.com at the time the article was written and may have altered slightly since | The stats are based over a refereeโ€™s career so far to help provide insight into their general booking behaviour.

1# Andrรฉs Rojas โ€“ Colombia

Colombiaโ€™s Andrรฉs Rojas is the referee with the highest yellow card per match average of the officials at the 2026 World Cup in USA, Canada and Mexico.

At the time of writing, he has shownย 1958 yellow cardsย and 135 red cardsย inย 353 fixturesย and gives an average ofย 5.52 yellow cards per game.

World Cup fixtures Andrรฉs Rojas is officiating will be listed here once the tournament is underway

2# Alejandro Hernรกndez โ€“ Spain

Spanish official Alejandro Hernรกndez is another at the top of the yellow cards per game table and is another whose World Cup matches should be considered for booking betting markets.

At the time of writing, he has shownย 2581 yellow cardsย andย 166 red cardsย inย 477 fixturesย and gives an average ofย 5.41 yellow cards per game.

World Cup fixtures Alejandro Hernรกndez is officiating will be listed here once the tournament is underway

3# Istvรกn Kovรกcs โ€“ Romania

The top three also includes Istvรกn Kovรกcs from Romania. He has shownย 3128 yellow cardsย andย 207 red cardsย inย 597 fixturesย and gives an average ofย 5.24 yellow cards per game.

World Cup fixtures Istvรกn Kovรกcs is officiating will be listed here once the tournament is underway

๐ŸŸฅ Hรฉctor Said Martรญnez โ€“ Honduras

When it comes to red cards, it is Hondurasโ€™s Hรฉctor Said Martรญnez that stands out. He dishes out a red card on average every 0.66 matches!

While his yellow card rate isnโ€™t as high as some others, his willingness to reach for red pushes him into the most strict band of referees.

World Cup fixtures Hรฉctor Said Martรญnez is officiating will be listed here once the tournament is underway

๐ŸŸจ World Cup Referee Yellow Card Averages (Highest โ†’ Lowest) โ€“ Full Table

RankRefereeNationalityYellows / GameReds / GamePens / Game
1Andrรฉs RojasColombia5.520.380.31
2Alejandro HernรกndezSpain5.410.350.31
3Istvรกn KovรกcsRomania5.240.350.32
4Kevin OrtegaPeru5.220.370.47
5Hรฉctor Said MartรญnezHonduras5.210.660.46
6Yael Falcรณn PรฉrezArgentina5.180.250.27
7Ivan BartonEl Salvador5.130.470.47
8Gustavo TejeraUruguay5.050.290.33
9Wilton SampaioBrazil5.050.290.28
10Jesรบs ValenzuelaVenezuela4.960.300.28
11Dario HerreraArgentina4.960.360.28
12Facundo TelloArgentina4.690.350.26
13Ramรณn AbattiBrazil4.600.260.25
14Joรฃo PinheiroPortugal4.510.190.33
15Maurizio MarianiItaly4.410.350.34
16Juan Gabriel BenรญtezParaguay4.390.330.33
17Oshane NationJamaica4.330.190.22
18Juan CalderรณnGuatemala4.330.330.34
19Felix ZwayerGermany4.310.200.29
20Sandro SchรคrerSwitzerland4.250.250.34
21Cรฉsar RamosMexico4.240.390.29
22Ning MaChina4.240.280.34
23Slavko Vinฤiฤ‡Slovenia4.170.220.24
24Raphael ClausBrazil4.160.240.27
25Cristian GarayChile4.140.330.27
26Abongile TomSouth Africa4.140.210.32
27Katia GarcรญaMexico4.130.120.22
28Ilgiz TantashevUzbekistan4.110.260.34
29Szymon MarciniakPoland4.070.230.42
30Abdulrahman Al JassimQatar4.000.190.45
31Mustapha GhorbalAlgeria3.940.220.38
32Omar Al AliUAE3.840.320.48
33Tori PensoUnited States3.820.110.28
34Alireza FaghaniAustralia3.780.190.26
35Franรงois LetexierFrance3.770.280.34
36Pierre AtchoGabon3.740.090.14
37Dahane BeidaMauritania3.730.170.33
38Ismail ElfathUnited States3.680.250.32
39Campbell-Kirk Kawana-WaughNew Zealand3.570.300.45
40Adham MakhadmehJordan3.560.140.25
41Amin MohamedEgypt3.520.210.34
42Anthony TaylorEngland3.510.180.31
43Khalid Al TuraisSaudi Arabia3.440.170.41
44Omar Abdulkadir ArtanSomalia3.370.070.19
45Drew FischerCanada3.280.160.30
46Michael OliverEngland3.270.150.31
47Jalal JayedMorocco3.250.160.50
48Espen EskรฅsNorway3.230.120.30
49Danny MakkelieNetherlands3.220.240.30
50Clement TurpinFrance3.210.260.35
51Glenn NybergSweden3.070.130.18
52Yusuke ArakiJapan2.690.130.22

โ„น๏ธ Booking stats are taken from Transfermarkt.com at the time the article was written and may have altered slightly since | The stats are based over a refereeโ€™s career so far to help provide insight into their general booking behaviour.

๐Ÿ“Œ Quick Observations

  • Very strict referees (5+ cards/game): Andrรฉs Rojas, Alejandro Hernรกndez, IIstvรกn Kovรกcs, Kevin Ortega, Hรฉctor Said Martรญnez

These are true high-intensity refs โ€” consistently trending toward 5+ yellows per match, meaning frequent game disruption and strict foul punishment.

  • Mid-range core FIFA cluster (3.5โ€“4.5): Most referees fall here โ€” this is the World Cup โ€œdefault zoneโ€.
  • Low-card referees (<3.3): Yusuke Araki, Danny Makkelie, Espen Eskรฅs, Glenn Nyberg, Clement Turpin.

These referees are significantly more permissive โ€” strong tendency toward under 3.5 cards, unless the match is unusually aggressive.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Over/Under Betting Model (Cards Per Match)

When it comes to booking bets at the 2026 World Cup, there are plenty of markets to explore. Maybe one of the most popular to consider based on the above referee stats is the over/under cards per match markets.

๐ŸŽฏ How the Model Works

Each refereeโ€™s average yellow card per game becomes a baseline expectation and we define two key betting bands and the refs that fall into them.

๐ŸŸฅ High card refs (OVER lean)

  • 4.50+ yellows/game
  • Strong tendency to go over most common lines (3.5 / 4.5)

๐ŸŸฉ Low card refs (UNDER lean)

  • < 3.50
  • Strong under bias on standard lines

ย 

๐ŸŸฅ OVER-LEAN Results (High Card Referees)

(4.50+ yellows/game โ€” strong Over 3.5 / 4.5 bias)

  • Andrรฉs Rojas (Colombia) โ€” 5.52 Y/G | 0.38 R/G
  • Alejandro Hernรกndez (Mexico) โ€” 5.41 Y/G | 0.35 R/G
  • Istvรกn Kovรกcs (Romania) โ€” 5.24 Y/G | 0.35 R/G
  • Kevin Ortega (Peru) โ€” 5.22 Y/G | 0.37 R/G
  • Hรฉctor Said Martรญnez (Honduras) โ€” 5.21 Y/G | 0.66 R/G
  • Yael Falcรณn Pรฉrez (Argentina) โ€” 5.18 Y/G | 0.25 R/G
  • Ivan Barton (El Salvador) โ€” 5.13 Y/G | 0.47 R/G
  • Gustavo Tejera (Uruguay) โ€” 5.05 Y/G | 0.29 R/G
  • Wilton Sampaio (Brazil) โ€” 5.05 Y/G | 0.29 R/G
  • Jesรบs Valenzuela (Venezuela) โ€” 4.96 Y/G | 0.30 R/G
  • Dario Herrera (Argentina) โ€” 4.96 Y/G | 0.36 R/G
  • Facundo Tello (Argentina) โ€” 4.69 Y/G | 0.35 R/G
  • Ramรณn Abatti (Brazil) โ€” 4.60 Y/G | 0.26 R/G
  • Joรฃo Pinheiro (Portugal) โ€” 4.51 Y/G | 0.19 R/G

Total: 14 refs

๐Ÿ“ŒKey Takeaway:
This is a very strong cluster. Nearly all sit comfortably above 4.5, meaning:

  • Over 3.5 = high hit rate baseline
  • Over 4.5 = still very viable
  • Some extreme refs (Martรญnez, Barton, Ortega) push toward Over 5.5 territory

ย 

๐ŸŸฉ UNDER-LEAN Results (Low Card Referees)

(< 3.50 yellows/game โ€” strong Under bias)

  • Drew Fischer (Canada) โ€” 3.28 Y/G | 0.16 R/G
  • Michael Oliver (England) โ€” 3.27 Y/G | 0.15 R/G
  • Jalal Jayed (Morocco) โ€” 3.25 Y/G | 0.16 R/G
  • Espen Eskรฅs (Norway) โ€” 3.23 Y/G | 0.12 R/G
  • Danny Makkelie (Netherlands) โ€” 3.22 Y/G | 0.24 R/G
  • Clement Turpin (France) โ€” 3.21 Y/G | 0.26 R/G
  • Glenn Nyberg (Sweden) โ€” 3.07 Y/G | 0.13 R/G
  • Yusuke Araki (Japan) โ€” 2.69 Y/G | 0.13 R/G

Total: 8 refs

๐Ÿ“ŒKey Takeaway:
This group is smaller but very reliable statistically:

  • Under 4.5 = strong baseline angle
  • Under 3.5 = viable depending on matchup
  • Araki (2.69) = elite under profile

๐ŸŸฅConsider How Red Cards Can Alter Ref Stats

While focusing on yellow cards per game is a good indicator for general match booking bets, especially when betting over/under markets, it is sometimes also worth considering how red cards could change things.

Red card betting is also possible with the best soccer betting sites so could be considered when certain officials are in charge.

โš ๏ธ Key Insights

Reds materially change tiers

  • Several refs jump up a full tier due to red card frequency
  • Hรฉctor Said Martรญnez โ†’ massive 0.66 reds/game โ†’ becomes one of the strictest overall

The pool becomes EVEN MORE over-leaning

  • Elite + Strict tiers dominate when reds are factored in
  • True โ€˜under refsโ€™ become extremely rare

๐Ÿ‘‰ This explains why:

  • Over 3.5 is often priced aggressively
  • Value often shifts to Over 4.5 / 5.5 with elite refs

Hidden edge refs

These refs donโ€™t look extreme on yellows alone but become strong overs with their reds also factored:

  • Ivan Barton
  • Kevin Ortega
  • Szymon Marciniak
  • Abdulrahman Al Jassim

Best Bookies for World Cup 2026 Booking Bets

Here is a list of theย top five Australian betting sitesย that offer top goalscorer markets. For a more detailed breakdown of the best bookies and markets available you should check out ourย World Cup bettingย page, but these our the top five picks to get you started.

We are big fans of bet365, which is one of the first operators to price up match and booking markets in general. Unibet, which always has a wide range of odds and stats, is another top option.

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