Written by
Nikola Jekic
Last time updated
07/12/2023
AFL Grand Final Betting
AFL Grand Final is one of Australia’s most highly anticipated sports events. So, it’s no wonder many punters like to try their luck and guess the next AFL champion. If you’re unsure where to place your AFL Grand Final bets, you’re in the right place.
Our experts have created a list of the top 7 AFL Grand Final betting sites you can find below. We also list the best AFL Grand Final betting apps and explain everything else you need to know before betting.
Our experts tested every site you see below to ensure they’re safe and easy to use. We pick bookies for our top list based on several factors, such as betting apps, quality of odds, betting bonuses and free bet offers, selection of AFL betting marketing and so on.
PlayUp Is the Best Betting Site for Betting on AFL Grand Final
PlayUp is a 100% Australian betting site with an amazing selection of AFL betting markets. Our testing has shown that they offer over 150 bets for any AFL match, which puts them shoulder to shoulder with the world’s most prominent bookies, such as bet365 and Unibet. On top of that, PlayUp is known for usually offering the best-priced AFL odds in Australia.
PlayUp website and betting apps are very straightforward to use, which makes it perfect for novice bettors. They don’t have advanced features, such as live streaming, but almost everything else is there. You can take advantage of the AFL bet builder or claim some of their betting promotions.
Another great thing about PlayUp is that they also offer AFL fantasy through the integration with Draftstars. You don’t even have to change accounts to start playing. Draftstars is the best DFS site in Australia, and they offer many AFL fantasy leagues, including special contests for AFL Grand Final.
Finding the best AFL Grand Final betting odds is the easiest way to boost your profits. That’s why we always suggest going around and shopping for the highest prices.
Below you can find a side-by-side comparison of the future odds for the AFL Grand Final winner. Keep in mind that these odds are changing all the time, and they will probably look quite different before the Grand Final starts.
AFL Grand Final Winner Odds Comparison
Team
Collingwood
4.50
5.00
4.75
Geelong
5.00
5.00
5.00
Melbourne
5.00
5.50
5.00
Brisbane Lions
7.00
6.50
7.00
Carlton
13.0
15.0
14.0
St Kilda
12.0
15.0
15.0
Port Adelaide
15.0
17.0
17.0
Sydney
15.0
17.0
17.0
Essendon
26.0
23.0
29.0
Western Bulldogs
21.0
23.0
23.0
Adelaide
18.0
23.0
23.0
Richmond
81.0
41.0
51.0
Fremantle
81.0
101.0
101.0
Greater Western Sydney
151.0
151.0
151.0
Gold Coast
81.0
151.0
101.0
North Melbourne
501.0
601.0
501.0
Hawthorn
501.0
601.0
501.0
West Coast
501.0
751.0
751.0
Best AFL Grand Final Betting Apps
If you prefer to bet on the go, you’ll be happy to hear that every site from our list offers native betting apps for iOS and Android. But if you want the best possible mobile experience, we suggest checking out the bet365 app. They offer the most comprehensive betting app on the market that includes everything from live streaming and live betting to a stats centre, bet builder and extensive selection of AFL Grand Final betting markets.
The only downside to the bet365 app is that it offers so many features that it can be overwhelming to beginners. In case you want just a straightforward app that has a simple design and all the basic features, we suggest downloading the PlayUp app. It’s great for novice and casual bettors who don’t want to be distracted by too many bells and whistles.
Race to the AFL Grand Final is always very competitive and full of surprises, so it’s very difficult to tell with certainty which team will lift the trophy at the end. However, our experts have come up with the top 5 teams that are most likely to win it all. If you consider betting on the AFL Grand Final winner, take a closer look at our suggestions.
Our AFL Grand FInal Betting Tips
Carlton: Despite the struggles, they have a star-studded team with a lot of potential. Their key strength is that they are ranked 2nd in the AFL in contested possession differential, making them a tough team to face. However, their mental game and pressure from not having played finals since 2013 could be a potential downfall.
Essendon: They have started the season strongly and have shown improvement under Brad Scott. Their key strength is being ranked 3rd in score per inside 50. However, their defensive issues and current losing streak may be a concern.
Adelaide: They are one of the most exciting and dangerous teams in the competition. Their key strength is being ranked 1st in post-clearance contested possession differential. However, their overall inexperience remains a question mark.
Sydney: They have a talented list of players with a nice blend of youth and experience, and are ranked 5th in points from turnovers. However, their recent slump and injury issues are a cause for concern.
Fremantle: They have a talented squad and a stout defence, and are ranked 6th in points from forward half chains. However, their game plan and lack of firepower in attack are potential concerns.
Most Popular AFL Grand Final Bets
Australian betting sites offer a plethora of markets for betting on AFL. We will examine a few of the most popular ones below.
Remember, the more specific the market, the more unpredictable it can be. However, they often provide greater odds. Always consider your knowledge of the teams, players, their form, and other relevant factors when placing your bets.
While the Grand Final is the highlight of the AFL season, don’t forget that you can also bet on the Brownlow Medal, another major event that attracts a lot of betting interest.
Match Result
This is the most straightforward bet where you’re simply predicting the winner of the match. The odds will reflect the perceived strength of each team. Best used when you have a strong belief one team will win outright.
Handicap Betting
The bookmaker will give a points “handicap” to the underdog to level the playing field. You bet on whether the favourite will win by more than the given points (cover the line), or the underdog will lose by less than the points or win outright. This is best used when you believe a game will be closer or more one-sided than the general prediction.
Total Points / Over Under Betting
Here you’re betting on whether the total points scored in the match by both teams will be over or under a certain number set by the bookmaker. This market is best used when you have a sense of how high or low-scoring a game will be based on teams’ offensive and defensive capabilities.
First Goal Scorer
This bet involves predicting which player will score the first goal of the match. Best used when you have knowledge of a player’s form and their likelihood of scoring early in the match.
Quarter and Half Time Leaders
This involves predicting which team will be ahead at each quarter or half time. This can be a useful market if you know a team typically starts strong or tends to perform better in certain periods of the game.
Margin Betting
This involves predicting the winning margin of the game. Bookmakers often offer ranges such as 1-39 points or 40+ points. This market is best used when you believe you have a good sense of not just who will win, but the extent of their dominance.
Prop Bets
These include a wide variety of bets such as the number of goals a player will score, whether a player will have over or under a certain number of disposals, or the team to score the last goal. Best used when you have in-depth knowledge of teams and players.
Norm Smith Medal Betting
The Norm Smith Medal is a prestigious award given to the most outstanding player in each year’s AFL Grand Final. Named after esteemed Melbourne coach Norm Smith, it’s been awarded annually since 1979, with a panel of experts deciding the recipient. Many bookmakers offer different markets for betting on the Norm Smith Medal, providing an alternative to standard win-loss bets. However, these markets typically offer longer odds due to the challenge of selecting one standout player from two teams.
When considering a bet on the Norm Smith Medal, it’s important to evaluate recent form, finals experience, player position, and potential match-ups in the Grand Final. Midfielders, due to their influential role, often have a higher chance of winning, but exceptional performances from players in other positions are recognized too. Notable winners include Dustin Martin, a three-time recipient, and Luke Shuey, Jason Johannisen, and Andrew McLeod, showcasing their ability to excel in high-pressure games.
Betting on the Norm Smith Medal can be more unpredictable than many other betting markets due to its singular focus on one player’s performance. Therefore, it’s essential to undertake thorough research and deliberate carefully when placing bets in this market. Despite the challenges, the potential for higher returns makes it an appealing choice for many AFL fans.
AFL Grand Final Betting Strategy
Our team of experts has curated this list of top 5 strategies to assist punters in making more informed decisions when betting on the AFL Grand Final. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out, these strategies can provide a valuable framework for your betting approach. Remember, while no strategy can guarantee success, informed betting can significantly enhance your chances.
Study the Form: Analysis of the form of both teams leading up to the Grand Final is essential. This includes not just wins and losses, but also player performances, injury lists, and how well teams have done against other top teams. The more information you have, the more informed your bet can be. This principle also applies when you bet on the Coleman Medal, where understanding player performance and team dynamics can be crucial.
Consider the Venue: The venue of the match can have a significant impact on the outcome. Some teams perform better at certain grounds than others. Weather conditions may also play a part in the game’s result, particularly if it’s wet, which could lead to a lower scoring game.
Look at Head-to-Head History: Some teams have a knack for performing well against certain opponents. It’s important to consider the head-to-head history of the two teams in the Grand Final. If one team has dominated recent matches, they might have a psychological edge.
Value Betting: Value betting involves seeking out betting markets that may be undervalued by bookmakers. This could involve betting on an underdog to win, or on a specific player to score the first goal or win the Norm Smith Medal. The idea is to find bets that have a better chance of happening than the odds suggest.
Player Performance Betting: Instead of placing your entire focus on the team’s performance, consider betting on individual player’s performance. Markets such as Most Goals, Most Disposals, or even Norm Smith Medal are worth looking into. For these bets, you need to have a good understanding of individual players, their roles within the team, their current form, and their past performance in high-pressure games. This strategy allows you to leverage your knowledge of individual players, which can sometimes be more predictable than team performance.
Conclusion
Since AFL Grand Final is one of the most popular sports events in Australia, you won’t have a problem finding where to bet. The best overall choice is PlayUp, but bookies like bet365, Unibet and Palmerbet are also solid options. They all offer excellent mobile betting apps, so you can bet on the AFL Grand Final even when on the go. If you’re still not sure which bookmaker to pick, head out to our list of the top 7 AFL Grand Final betting sites.
FAQs
What are the best bookies for betting on the AFL Grand Final?
The top bookies for betting on the AFL Grand Final include PlayUp and bet365. PlayUp, an Australian betting site, stands out for its impressive selection of AFL betting markets and competitive odds. Bet365 also offers a comprehensive betting experience with its feature-rich mobile app.
What are the best bets for the AFL Grand Final?
The best bets for the AFL Grand Final depend on your knowledge of the teams, players, and their form. Match Result, Handicap Betting, Total Points / Over Under Betting, First Goal Scorer, Quarter and Half Time Leaders, Margin Betting, and Prop Bets are all popular betting markets.
Which are the best AFL Grand Final Betting Apps?
The best AFL Grand Final Betting Apps are offered by bet365 and PlayUp. The bet365 app is known for its extensive features, including live streaming and live betting. The PlayUp app is more straightforward and user-friendly, making it ideal for novice and casual bettors.
Is it possible to place a bet on the Norm Smith Medal winner?
Yes, it is possible to place a bet on the Norm Smith Medal winner. This prestigious award goes to the most outstanding player in each year’s AFL Grand Final. Many bookmakers offer betting markets on this award, but remember, this market can be unpredictable due to its focus on individual player performance.
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Our experts manually test and compare every betting site to offer our readers detailed and up-to-date information. We rank bookies based on several important criteria, including apps, markets, odds, special features etc. To learn more about the review process, visit the How we rate page.
We are a professional review site that may receive compensation from the betting sites and products we review. We test each bookmaker to a high standard and all views given are our own.
